Something like that. Exact mechanism isn't known but empirical evidence suggests of its existence.So.... you're saying when we're born, somebody rolls some dice, and that's the amount of luck we're given for our life times?
Same here. But poker is not good example because influence of skill and amount of control is much higher than in freeorion, if compared to amount and influence of random uncontrollable events.I was a part time professional poker player for a number of years
Well it's highly possible that you are 'average luck' person. So you get 'average' results in long run. My luck is definetely worse than average - in poker I have to fold tons of times, and when I collected hands power statistics I noticed that I get good hands less often than others (though I encountered some players with equally bad luck, most of players got better hands more often). Even a triple is rare for me. Full house - maybe once in 100 games. I don't remember getting Royal Flush ever in my life. Ever. For most other players triples are more common. Royal Flushes are rare, but happen (and I get "WTF???" feeling every time I see it). In poker, however, you can still compensate lack of luck with good strategy and play adequately against luckier players, even in long run. In freeorion, you generally can't.But they always reverted to the mean in the long run
No. In my case long term leads to 'below average' result. For most people it's average. For some, it's above average.but in the long term, it will always, ALWAYS, average out
The 'long run' is the problem, not temporal lucky or unlucky streaks.
No, this is called "strategy". By luck I mean "positive or negative outcome of events which I don't have control over". For example, map generation in freeorion. Can I develop strategy to influence it? No I can't.That means that you can make your own "luck"
Well I'm pretty sure we are close to thousand games played now, and we already got used for one player (L29Ah) had ridiculously good starting conditions in majority of games. His empire's graph skyrockets nearly every game, and every time we find out that he got scylior with comp moon, muursh, kobuntura and tons of planetary bonuses early on. Definetely better than average starting conditions, most of the times.With a big enough data set, which by the way not one player of this game has, you'll see that every player on average was given identical starting conditions.